#BC09 has arrived

Well, depending on when you're reading this, maybe it hasn't arrived yet, but I've arrived, so it's as good as here.

Three of Friday's six Breeders' Cup races are likely to determine championships: The Juvenile Fillies, the Filly & Mare Sprint, and the Filly & Mare Turf. It's possible that the F&M Turf winner could lose the Eclipse Award to either Goldikova or Dar Re Mi if either of them defeat males on Saturday in the Mile or Turf, respectively.

The Ladies' Classic is interesting as the ultimate consolation prize, as both three-year-old Careless Jewel and older female Music Note would be a cinch for Eclipse Awards in their respective decisions with a win in most years, but we've been pretty spoiled with Rachel Alexandra and Zenyatta other than the fact that they never faced each other, but Careless Jewel on the lead and Music Note chasing will be fun just the same.

From a wagering standpoint, I will center most of my day around Forever Together in the Filly & Mare Turf and Sara Louise in the Filly & Mare Sprint. Forever Together is my most likely winner on the day and Sara Louise is my best bet. That is, even though Forever Together is more likely to win the race, Sara Louise is the better bet because her odds will be higher relative to her chance of winning.

I really can't separate Careless Jewel and Music Note. Both just seem better than the rest, and I don't want either to beat me if I'm right about Forever Together. Mushka is my longshot play underneath.

The Juvenile Fillies is very evenly matched, so I have no trouble going against the favorites in here. Connie and Michael will just have to beat me at a short price. I'll use Blind Luck defensively, but I'll have more money on pice horses like Devil May Care, She Be Wild, and Biofuel.

The Juvenile Fillies Turf also could go in a lot of different directions, but Rose Catherine is a must play at 6-to-1 let alone her morning line of 8-to-1. I love her turf debut, and two turns is always a challenge, but she has the look of one who is for real. La Nez is getting overlooked, but at 20-to-1 I'll definitely be using one of the classier horses in the race.

I'm a Jukebox Jury fan, so I take notice that both Father Time and Mastery have finished ahead of him. Cloudy's Knight wins this on his best, but I worry about three races in seven weeks after more than a year layoff. Man of Iron winning would be a great story for the pedigree buffs.