#8 Maram will get a lot of looks in here, but I'm willing to play against her on the main ticket given the layoff and likely short price. My "A" selections here are #3 Striking Dancer and #4 Complicity. McPeek has been high on Striking Dancer since the fall at Churchill where she won her maiden by 5 over two repeat winners and just missed in a stake to the highly regarded War Tigress. Like Maram, there's a layoff here too, but it's not as long and the workouts are super steady. Complicity will likely get overlooked coming from Indiana Downs, but the one-two horses in that $112k stake are both legit. Even with the decent stakes try last out, I have some class concerns given the Edgewood disaster, but she's just too quick to let go at the likely price.
Leg II, race 9
Another race where I'm not in love with the favorite, as #2 Cat Moves can win but others seem likely enough to warrant playing against if the opportunity is there. #4 Heart Ashley should get a more favorable pace scenario in the Test than the Prioress even with #3 Olde Glamour, #6 Flashing, and #7 Reforestation in the mix. People think horses who show speed and stop at six furlongs have no chance at seven, but that's not always the case, and Heart Ashley won her maiden at the Test distance. Pace wise, if the aforementioned #s 3, 4, 6, and 7 end up cooking each other it's hard not to envision the race setting up for #5 First Passage, who was in front by the stretch call when winning the Azalea something I like because I think she could get the jump on Cat Moves.
Leg III, Race 10
Commentator is my play against of the sequence. He'll be on everyone's tickets, and I can see beating him here especially since there's a little pace to run at him early at least. #1 Smooth Air fits from a pace standpoint and is at least as fast as everyone else in the race except Commentator, but it seems like he never really gets it done against the top-class horses going two turns, though his BC Classic wasn't terrible. #2 Asiatic Boy is the sucker horse I keep going for because it always seems as if he's due, but anything close to his 6-1 morning line is a steal because I see him winning this race at least 20% of the time (4-1 odds). This is third off the layoff, third with Lasix, and a slight cut back in distance, so it's now or never, and I think it's now.
Leg IV, Race 11
I'm nervous about only having three numbers written down given that turf sprints are always seemingly so wide open, but #8 Day Trippi woke up on dirt, and although they say Tapeta (the surface at Presque Isle) is closer to turf than dirt, I don't mind Trippi's on the turf, and I just think he fits here. #5 Stayawaystella has run three turf sprints that probably win this along with a couple clunkers, but in this field I have to think the good experiences will help. #9 First to Come Home is another debuting on the turf whose best dirt form gets it done here.
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